Friday, 1 February 2008

Price Wiser?

He’s at it again!

Only days after we’d nominated Andreas as the best each way, ante post bet in this year’s Queen Mother Champion Chase, legendary Racing Post tipster, Pricewise, recommended exactly the same horse as the form choice in his weekly column.

We hope you got on early and took the 50/1 that was widely available when we nominated Paul Nicholls’ gelding as the one to be on, as the best price now is 33/1 (with Ladbrokes) and he is as low as 25/1 with many other bookies.

If you prefer trends to form, here are a few pointers to look out for when trying to pick this year’s winner:

* The record of the returning champion in the race (Voy Por Ustedes) is 445U35.

* The record of the previous year’s Arkle winner (My Way De Solzen) is 231121.

* The record of the current Tinkle Creek winner (Twist Magic) is 633131U1F.

* The record of the current Game Spirit winner (to be run later this month) is 2653713F.

* Six of the last seven winners had run in that season’s Tingle Creek.

* The last ten winners had all won over at least 2m 1½f. Twist Magic hasn’t.

* Nine out of the last ten winners had had at least 8 previous runs over fences and were aged at least seven years old.

* Eight out of the last ten winners had been a previous course winner at Cheltenham, and were no bigger price than 10/1 at this stage.

* Seven out of the last ten winners had won a Grade 1 chase at some point during their careers and had won a Graded chase last time out.

If you follow the trends, the first four home in this year’s Champion Chase may look something like this:

1st Voy Por Ustedes
2nd Tamarinbleu
3rd Nickname
4th Newmill

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